Biden is leading more Texas polls than he's trailing
This may be a case where we refuse to believe what's in front of us. It's been blue-ing demographically for years, and the pace of that has accelerated over the last four years. It's home to a ton of those suburban voters that Trump drove out of the Republican party and replaced with upper Midwest rural voters.
Analysts have been saying forever that Democrats have large pools of potential voters in Texas if they could ever get turnout up, and turnout looks on pace to absolutely smash recent years, particularly in the never-delivered youth vote. If you stripped away all context and asked me to analyze the situation based on numbers, I'd say Biden is probably winning Texas. But actually seeing a blue Texas on election night seems unthinkable.
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In response to this post by Shenhoo)
Posted: 10/27/2020 at 12:13PM